Paxton had ousted John Cornyn in the GOP primary. Talarico is the first Democrat elected to the Senate from Texas since 1988.
Democrats take both chambers as a midterm wave reaches deep into Trump country
Democrats flipped the House, gained seven Senate seats and picked up five governorships, winning statewide in Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, Georgia, and South Carolina. In 66 of 70 Senate and governor races with a comparable count, Democrats improved on the 2024 presidential margin.
01 · The SwingAlmost every statewide race shifted toward Democrats
Senate races: 2026 margin vs. Trump's 2024 margin in the same state
Each arrow runs from the 2024 presidential margin (hollow circle) to the 2026 margin (solid dot), sorted by 2024 vote.
2026 Margin vs. 2024 Presidential Margin
Shaded upper-left quadrant shows states carried by Donald Trump in 2024 where the Democrat won or leads in 2026.
Largest Swings From 2024
Two-candidate margin shift relative to the 2024 presidential vote in the same state.
02 · The HouseA double-digit popular-vote wave across 435 districts
All 435 districts
Shade shows margin size. Diagonal stripes mark a seat that changed party; an outlined square is still uncalled, shaded for whoever leads.
Every state's 2026 House vote vs. its 2024 presidential vote
Points above the diagonal moved toward Democrats. Circle area is proportional to House votes counted so far.
The seats that changed hands
Projected flips plus uncalled districts where the Democratic challenger currently leads.
03 · The SenateSeven seats gained, five in states Trump won by double digits
Starting from a 47–53 deficit on a Class 2 map concentrated in Republican states, Democrats held all 13 of their own seats and flipped North Carolina, Texas, Maine, Ohio, Kansas, South Carolina, and Iowa for a 54–44 majority with Alaska and Mississippi still counting. Republicans held Florida's special election by 2.9 points and Nebraska by 6.7 points against independent Dan Osborn.
The 100-Seat Chamber
Starred seats mark the 7 Republican seats flipped by Democrats; dashed outlines mark uncalled contests in Alaska and Mississippi.
Dem Held / Not Up
Dem Flips
GOP Held / Not Up
Competitive Senate Margins (Under 20 Points)
Two-candidate margin relative to even. Hover any row for full vote shares and 2024 shift.
Hamilton defeated Roger Marshall in Kansas (first Democratic senator since 1932); Andrews defeated interim appointee Darline Graham in South Carolina.
Troy Jackson ended Susan Collins's five-term run in Maine; Roy Cooper carried North Carolina by 19.6 points; Sherrod Brown won Ohio's special election.
Scott Colom (D) and Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) are tied at 48.9% with 96% counted; Mississippi holds no runoff, so the plurality leader wins. Mary Peltola (D) leads Dan Sullivan (R) ahead of Alaska's ranked-choice count.
04 · Governors & Split TicketsFive governorships flipped, and where voters split their ballots
Democrats defeated Republican incumbents in Texas (Greg Abbott) and Nevada (Joe Lombardo), won open Republican-held seats in Iowa, Georgia, and Ohio, and defended every called Democratic seat, for a 27–20 majority of governorships with 3 still uncalled. Across the 26 states with both Senate and governor races on Tuesday's ballot, voters split party winners in New Hampshire (18.3-point gap) and South Carolina (8.9-point gap).
Same-Ballot Gap: Senate (●) vs. Governor (◆)
16 largest margin differences among the 26 states holding both elections on Nov. 3. Left of center = Republican margin; right = Democratic margin.
Defeats three-term incumbent Greg Abbott; first Democratic governor of Texas since Ann Richards left office in 1995.
State Auditor Rob Sand won Iowa's open seat by 11.0 points; Amy Acton defeated Vivek Ramaswamy (44.4%) in Ohio.
Keisha Lance Bottoms won Georgia's open seat; Nevada AG Aaron Ford defeated first-term incumbent Joe Lombardo.
Byron Donalds held Florida by 1.3 points. Republicans Kelly Ayotte (NH) and Phil Scott (VT) won re-election in states Kamala Harris carried in 2024.
05 · Explore by StateEvery state, every district, every vote
One square per state, one hexagon per House district, then every vote counted as a dot. Select a state on any map to see its 2024 presidential baseline alongside Tuesday's Senate, governor, House and ballot-measure results; select it again or press Esc to clear.
House districts: swing from 2024
Every House vote, as dots
06 · Still CountingThe closest uncalled races, and how the chambers settle
Fifty-three House seats, two Senate contests, and three governorships remain uncalled. California and Washington tabulate mail ballots for days after Election Day; Alaska runs its ranked-choice rounds in mid-November; Mississippi's Senate race is tied with no runoff to fall back on.
The closest uncalled races
Sorted by current percentage-point gap across Senate, governor, and two-party House contests.
Uncalled Race Simulator
Defaults reflect current vote leaders and NBC's 258-seat House projection.
07 · The ElectorateWho voted how, and why
Six in ten voters said Donald Trump was a factor in their House vote, and those voting to oppose him outnumbered those voting to support him nearly three to one (44% to 16%). Women backed Democrats by 19 points and voters under 30 by 48 points, while independents broke 58%–38% Democratic. Voters naming the economy first favored Democrats 52%–46%, reversing 2024.
Democratic margin by group
National U.S. House exit poll · Dot size shows share of electorate.
The most important issue
Share of voters naming each issue, and how they voted for U.S. House.
Which party would better handle…
Democratic Party (blue), neither (gray), Republican Party (red).
08 · On the BallotAbortion protections pass in every test; voter ID passes in eight states
Voters approved constitutional abortion-rights measures in Virginia (62.4%) and Nevada (63.3%), rejected a repeal of Missouri's 2024 abortion amendment (44.5% Yes), and defeated an abortion-restriction measure in Idaho. On the same ballots, eight states passed citizenship or photo voter-ID rules, Missouri voters rejected the 2025 congressional map (38.2% Yes), and California's one-time billionaire tax trails at 44.4%.
Statewide ballot measures
Bar shows the "Yes" vote share; vertical tick marks 50%.
09 · History & 2028Nine midterms since 1994, state trifectas, and the 270 map
At NBC's projected 42-seat Republican House loss, 2026 matches 2018 (-41) and trails 2010 (-63) and 1994 (-54). What sets 2026 apart is the Senate: losing at least seven seats puts 2026 alongside 1994 (-8) and 2014 (-9) among the largest upper-chamber midterm losses in three decades. In the states, NCSL's preliminary count gives Democrats new trifectas in Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and breaks Republican trifectas in Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Texas.
Nine Midterms Since 1994
Seat changes for the president's party and net Gallup/exit-poll job approval.
2028 Electoral Votes by 2026 Statewide Winners
Adding the 7 core 2024 battlegrounds won statewide by Democrats on Tuesday (93 EV) to Harris's 226 EV reaches 319 EV, before TX (40), OH (17), SC (9), IA (6), or KS (6).
State Trifecta Shifts (Nov. 3, 2026)
10 · Reference TableAll 71 Senate and gubernatorial contests
Filter by office, party flips, uncalled counts, or single-digit margins, or search by state or candidate.
| State | Status | Winner / Leader | Runner-Up | 2026 | 2024 Pres. | Notes |
|---|
Notes on Tabulation, Runoffs, and Ranked-Choice Voting
Preliminary returns: Vote shares, district tallies, and race calls reflect NBC News Decision Desk, Associated Press, and CBS News counts on Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026. Mail, provisional, and overseas ballots continue to be tabulated.
Runoff & RCV rules: In Alaska (Senate and Governor), no candidate cleared 50% of first-choice votes; ranked-choice rounds occur roughly 15 days after Election Day. In Mississippi (Senate), there is no runoff in midterm general elections; Scott Colom and Cindy Hyde-Smith are tied at 48.9% with 96% counted. Independents Bernie Sanders (VT) and Angus King (ME) caucus with Senate Democrats and are included in Democratic Senate totals.
Sources & Dataset
- NBC News / Associated Press 2026 Senate, House & Governor Results
- NBC News National & 45-State Exit Polls conducted by SSRS (Nov. 3, 2026)
- CBS News Data Desk House Projections
- National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL) 2026 Trifecta Tracking
- Ballotpedia 2026 Statewide Ballot Measures
- Complete JSON dataset:
sadh.app/election2026/data.json